Case A

Additional clues RA Subsequent P(D ) SLE to Initial P (D )

1. Initial P (D ) .95 P1 .05

2. Pleurisy .70 P2 .30

3. Rash .50 P3 .50

4. Albuminuria .30 P4 .70

5. RF test + .50 P5 .50

6. ANA test + .05 P6 .95

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